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People’s Republic of China

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3/14/2008 [Total Votes: 474, Hits: 619]Print

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Introduction
Over the last three decades, since it embarked upon the path of economic reforms and modernisation, People's Republic of China (PRC) has come to acquire economic and military clout in far reaching corners of the world. This has put China in every major country's strategic calculations. On its part too, the Chinese leaders have sought to extend Beijing's influence on every major issue of international peace and security. Domestically, China is experiencing a massive economic boom since the past two decades. Yet some sore points remain- the issue of Tibet, Uighyur Muslim insurgency Xinjiang province, questions on China's domestic political transition, climate change and global warming.

Civilian Nuclear Programme
China established its nuclear industry in 1954 and since then has continued to play a dominant role in China's energy supply.1 Technology has been drawn from France, Canada and Russia, with local development based largely on the French element.2 Currently China operates 11 nuclear reactors. Five are under construction and several new reactors have been planned.3 This would take the share of the nuclear energy in total energy output to 5% by 2020.4

Operating Mainland Nuclear Power Reactors5
Units Province Type Net capacity (each) Commercial operation Operator
Daya Bay-1 & 2  Guangdong PWR 944 MWe 1994 CGNPC
Qinshan-1    Zhejiang PWR 279 MWe April 1994 CNNC
Qinshan-2 & 3  Zhejiang PWR 610 MWe 2002, 2004 CNNC
Lingao-1 & 2  Guangdong PWR 935 MWe 2002, 2003 CGNPC
Qinshan-4 & 5     Zhejiang PHWR 665 MWe 2002, 2003 CNNC
Tianwan-1 & 2     Jiangsu PWR (VVER) 1000 MWe 2007 CNNC
      8587 MWe    

China has also exported the technology that it has used in its domestic reactors to other countries most notably Pakistan.6

WMD Overview

(i). Nuclear Weapons
China began its nuclear weapons drive in the 1950s under the guise of peaceful uses of nuclear energy.7 With substantial Soviet assistance it finally achieved success in 1964 when it tested the nuclear device, officially becoming the fifth nuclear weapons state.8 This was despite the fact that Chinese leader Mao Tse-tung termed nuclear weapons as paper tigers.9 Since that day, China has stated that its nuclear doctrine is based on the concept of "no-first use" and that it serves strictly as a minimum nuclear deterrent to foreign aggression.10 Its nuclear weapons programme has relied on a mixture of foreign assistance, indigenous know-how and espionage to steadily develop and modernise its nuclear arsenal from its first implosion device to the development of tactical nuclear weapons in the 1980s.11 According to the estimates of the Natural Resources Defense Council, China currently possesses 400 nuclear warheads.12 China has joined both Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT) and the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT).

(ii). Chemical Weapons
China signed the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) in 1993 and ratified it in 1996.13 Yet PRC is also believed to have been still pursuing chemical weapons programme. Current inventory is believed to include the full range of traditional chemical agents.14 Chinese forces have conducted defensive chemical warfare training and are prepared to operate in a contaminated environment.15 There also have been accusations time and again from the United States that China is exporting dual-use chemical-weapons related materials and technology to Iran, Libya and Iraq.16 Some US newspapers have also reported that during the Cold War in 1970s, China has been found to have supplied Albania with a small stockpile of chemical weapons.17

(iii). Biological Weapons
China has been a victim of biological weapons during the World War II when imperial Japanese forces occupied China. The Japanese Army had established Unit 731 germ-warfare research center in Harbin.18 China is currently a signatory to the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention (BTWC) and Chinese officials have stated that China has never engaged in biological activities with offensive military applications. However, China was reported to have an active biological weapons programme in the 1980s.19 Moreover, there have been several allegations by the United States, countries like Iran receiving help on biological weapons front from China.20 Such transfers have resulted in numerous US nonproliferation sanctions being imposed on Chinese entities.21

Delivery Systems

According to the US Department of Defense's Annual Report to Congress on Military Power of the People's Republic of China, 2006, long-term trends in China's strategic nuclear forces modernisation, land- and sea-based access denial capabilities, and emerging precision-strike weapons have the potential to pose credible threats to modern militaries operating in the region.22 China has produced and deployed a wide range of ballistic missiles ranging from short-range missiles to the Inter Continental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs).23 China is in the midst of a ballistic missile modernisation programme that is improving its force, both qualitatively and quantitatively, in all classes of missiles. This modernisation programme is intended to improve China's nuclear deterrence by increasing the number of warheads. Older generation liquid-propellant ballistic missiles are being replaced by the new-generation solid-propellant, road-mobile designs.24 The People's Liberation Army Air Force deploys 2,300 combat aircraft, including air defence and multirole fighters, ground attack aircraft, fighter bombers and medium bombers. These include state-of-the art Sukhoi-27 and Sukhoi-30 MK aircrafts purchased from Russia.25 Beijing has also come to attach significance to possessing offensive undersea warfare capability. Towards this end, submarines have come to acquire a key place in the Chinese Navy since 1949.26

Estimated Chinese Nuclear Forces in 200627
 
China Designation U.S./NATO designation Year deployed Range (kilometers) Warhead x yield Missiles deployed Warheads deployed
Land-based missiles
DF-3A CSS-2 1971 3,100 1 x 3.3 Mt 16 16
DF-4 CSS-3 1980 5,500 1 x 3.3 Mt 22 22
DF-5A CSS-4 Mod 2 1981 13,000 1 x 4-5 Mt 20 20
DF-21A CSS-5 Mod 1/2 1991 2,150 1 x 200-300 kt 35 35
DF-31 (CSS-X-10) 2006 ?  7,250+ 1 x ? N.A. N.A.
DF-31A  N.A. 2007 - 2009 ?  11,270+ 1 x ? N.A. N.A.

Submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs)
JL-1    CSS-NX-3 1986 1,770+ 1 x 200-300 kt 12 12
JL-2 CSS-NX-4 2008-2010 ? 8,000+ 1 x ? N.A. N.A.

Aircraft
Hong-6     B-6 1965 3,100 1-3 x bomb 100 20
Attack (Q-5, others?)      1 x bomb   20

Short-range tactical weapons
DF-15     CSS-6 1990 600 1 x low ~300 ?
DH-10? (LACM) 2006-2007 ? ? 1 x low ? N.A. N.A.

Treaties and Conventions Signed28
Treaty, Conventions, Grouping Status
NPT State Party
CTBT Signatory
NSG Member
IAEA Safeguards Agreement Yes (INFCIRC 369)
IAEA Additional Protocol In Force since 28th March 2002
UNSC 1540 Report Submitted on 4th October 2004
Additional report submitted 2nd September 2005
Nuclear Safety Convention State Party
Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material State Party
CWC State Party
BTWC State Party
Geneva Protocol State Party
African Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone Treaty Signatory
Southeast Asia Nuclear-Weapon Free Zone Treaty Signatory
South Pacific Nuclear Free Zone Treaty Signatory
Treaty on a Nuclear-Weapon Free Zone in Central Asia Signatory

Important Speeches, Documents

[1]. "China's Nuclear Energy Industry Turns 50", People's Daily Online, September 2, 2004, http://french.china.org.cn/english/2004/Sep/105814.htm, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[2]. "Nuclear Power in China", http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf63.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[3]. "State Council Approves New Nuclear Plants", People's Daily Online, July 22, 2004, http://french.china.org.cn/english/2004/Jul/101935.htm, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[4]. "Civilian Application of China's Nuclear Industry", People's Daily Online, March 27, 2001, http://french.china.org.cn/english/BAT/9649.htm, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[5]. "Nuclear Power in China", http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf63.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[6]. Marsha Freeman, "China's 21st-Century Nuclear Energy Plan", Executive Intelligence Review, February 25, 2005, http://www.larouchepub.com/other/2005/3208china_htr.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[7]. "China Nuclear Weapons", http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/nuke/index.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[8]. Wikipedia contributors, "People's Republic of China and weapons of mass destruction," Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=People%27s_Republic_of_China_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction&oldid=183081901, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[9]. Mao Tse-tung's talks with Marshal Montgomery, http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2007-09/28/content_6143129.htm, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[10]. "Country Profile: China- Nuclear Weapons", http://www.nti.org/e_research/profiles/China/Nuclear/index.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[11]. Ibid.

[12]. "Chinese Nuclear Forces, 2002", http://www.nrdc.org/nuclear/nudb/datab17.asp, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[13]. Wikipedia contributors, "People's Republic of China and weapons of mass destruction," Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=People%27s_Republic_of_China_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction&oldid=183081901, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[14]. "China: Chemical and Biological Weapons", http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/cbw/index.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[15]. Ibid.

[16]. "China: Chemical Weapons Overview", http://www.nti.org/e_research/profiles/China/Chemical/index.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[17]. Wikipedia contributors, "People's Republic of China and weapons of mass destruction," Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=People%27s_Republic_of_China_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction&oldid=183081901, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[18]. "Chemical and Biological Weapons", http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/cbw/index.html, accessed on January 15, 2008. [19]. Ibid.

[20]. Leonard Spector, "House Testimony on Chinese Assistance to Iran's Weapons of Mass Destruction and Missile Programs", September 12, 1996, http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=129, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[21]. "China: Biological Weapons Overview", http://www.nti.org/e_research/profiles/China/Biological/index.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[22]. Department of Defense Annual Report to Congress on the Military Power of the People's Republic of China, 2006, http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/China%20Report%202006.pdf, p. 5, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[23]. "Country Profile: China", http://www.nti.org/e_research/profiles/China/index.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[24]. "Chinese Missile, Nuclear and Space Programme", http://www.sinodefence.com/strategic/default.asp, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[25]. "Chinese Military Aircraft", http://www.sinodefence.com/airforce/default.asp, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[26]. Lyle Goldstein and Bill Murray, "From Humble Origins: China's Submarine Force Comes of Age", Undersea Warfare, Winter 2004.

[27]. "China: Nuclear Weapons", http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/nuke/index.html, accessed on January 15, 2008.

[28]. "Country Profile: China-Treaties and Obligations", http://www.nti.org/e_research/official_docs/inventory/pdfs/china.pdf, accessed on January 15, 2008.

Civilian Nuclear Programme, Economic Reforms, People's Republic of China, International Peace and Security, Uighyur Muslim Insurgency, China's Domestic Political Transition, Global Warming, Nuclear Industry, China's Domestic Reactors, Nuclear Weapons, Nuclear Power in China, Nuclear Device, Chinese Leader Mao Tse-tung, Nuclear Doctrine, Natural Resources Defense Council, Non-Proliferation Treaty, Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, CTBT, NPT, Chemical Weapons, Chemical Weapons Convention, Chemical Warfare Training, Biological Weapons, Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention, BTWC, Biological Weapons Programme, Nuclear Forces Modernisation, ICBMs, Ballistic Missile Modernisation Programme, People's Liberation Army Air Force, Multirole Fighters, Sukhoi-27, Chinese Navy, War Resistance Against Japan, Deng Xiaoping's Speech, China's Industry, China-Australia Nuclear Agreement

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